Yiguo Xue, Zhiqiang Li, Daohong Qiu, Weimin Yang, Lewen Zhang, Yufan Tao, Kai Zhang


Предлагается методика прогноза риска разрушения тоннеля метрополитена, основанная на экспертных оценках влияния основных геологических факторов и параметров тоннеля на величину, характеризующую этот риск. Каждому учитываемому фактору присваивается экспертное критериальное значение с использованием метода Дельфи (опрос независимых экспертов и комплексирование их оценок), а затем с использованием одного из методов принятия решений (метод идеальной точки) оценивается обобщенный риск аварии. Эффективность методики иллюстрируется на примере оценки риска разрушения различных секций конкретного тоннеля.

Полный текст статьи опубликован в английской версии журнала
"Soil Mechanics and Foundation Engineering".


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